Power And Dollar

How Extreme is Obama? Or McCain?

Gallup published its newest polling results here while McCain just pulled out ads from anti-Obama campaigns.  Are there not even one anti-McCain campaign featuring Obama ads?  There is no surprise that this election has slowly morphing into an election all about Obama rather than an election about Americans.  Gallup’s poll actually says something similar in a way. 

 

Gallup’s poll says half of the Americans are not concerned with Obama’s presidency while only 31% of Americans are not concerned with McCain’s.  The biggest worry about Obama is if he is too liberal.  Now, how liberal is he?  Or how conservative is McCain?

 

Hilary got a strong support from the Reagan Democrats.  One may then assume Hilary is more conservative than Obama.  How much more liberal is Obama?  Well, really not much.  Statistical analysis (two dimensional Poole and Rosenthal spatial analysis) shows not only do both Obama and Clinton vote alike, but also within the center of Democrats voting records in the Senate.  

 

In 2007, they both were both present in the Senate votes 618 out of 654 times.  Of these 618 senate votes, they votes were different from each other only 42 times, less than 7% of the time.  They are representative of the main stream democrat ideology in the analysis.  

 

McCain is conservative in the liberal vs conservative dimension.  In fact, if the same analysis is performed on McCain’s voting recording, he is at about the center of Republican ideology, slightly left of the rest of the Republicans’ liberal vs conservative spectrum.  However, the interesting point about McCain, in this analysis, is that McCain votes with Democrats on social/lifestyle issues.  McCain is a maverick because he votes along with the Democrats at times.  He is closer to the political ideology center of the whole senate than the rest of his fellow Republican colleagues, as well as a lot of other Democrats in the senate.  McCain compromises to the center more often than Clinton and Obama.  

 

This unique characteristic makes McCain a maverick.  This compromising character is very important for a parliamentarian.  However, we are running an election for President.  On top of the fact that both candidates are senators with no executive experience, this election is run more like an American Idol than about issues, platforms and policies.  None of the positive characters identified by this study makes McCain more attractive to the general public.  However, it removes the worry about Obama’s extremism.  McCain probably should just enjoy the ride.

Advertisements

July 1, 2008 - Posted by | Barack Obama, Current Events, Democrats, election, Election 2008, John McCain, mccain, obama, opinion, politics, Republican, wordpress-political-blogs

1 Comment »

  1. […] Bryan Del Monte wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerptStatistical analysis (two dimensional Poole and Rosenthal spatial analysis) shows not only do both Obama and Clinton vote alike, but also within the center of Democrats voting records in the Senate. In 2007, they both were both present … Read the rest of this great post here […]

    Pingback by test » Blog Archive » How Extreme is Obama? Or McCain? | July 1, 2008 | Reply


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: